AUDIENCEXSCIENCE 2026

  • ARF

ARF’s annual AUDIENCExSCIENCE conference showcased the most urgent challenges and recent breakthroughs in audience measurement. Industry leaders gathered in NYC March 18-19 to examine the rapidly changing intersection of AI, marketing, media, and consumer insights. As AI shifts research workflows, alters measurement systems, and changes consumer behavior, we explored new insights on how audience measurement is adapting to rapid change.

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The Convergence of Content and Commerce: The Case of Shoppable Ads

  • ARF
  • CROSS-PLATFORM MEASUREMENT COUNCIL

Shoppable advertising is reshaping the relationship between media and commerce, and measurement practices are still catching up. In this report, the ARF Cross-Platform Measurement Council’s Attribution Working Group examines how brands, platforms, retailers and publishers are defining, deploying and evaluating Shoppable Ads. Based on nine in-depth industry interviews, this report highlights growth trends, key use cases, measurement methods and challenges, and the path toward scalable, closed-loop attribution to Shoppable Ads.

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Proving the Power of Faster MMM: New Research & Real-World Brand Stories

  • ARF
  • INSIGHTS STUDIOS

On February 25, leading authorities from OptiMine shared new research examining why marketing mix model (MMM) refresh cadence matters more than many brands realize. Attendees heard the latest insights from OptiMine’s Model Refresh Cadence project, examining how model degradation occurs over time and how refresh frequency impacts reliability and decision-making. Panelists shared real-world case studies based on brands that have successfully moved to faster refresh cycles, highlighting what changed operationally and what improved as a result.

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What AI Recommends—and Why: Inside the Logic of “Best” Product Choices

  • Psychology of GenAI

As generative AI tools increasingly shape how consumers search, shop, compare and evaluate products, understanding how they make recommendations has become critical for marketers. This eighth report in our ongoing Psych of Gen AI series examines how large language models (LLMs), like ChatGPT and Claude, determine what qualifies as the “best” product—and reveals that their recommendations are far from neutral. Instead, they tend to rely on narrow, repetitive sets of familiar brands and structured response patterns that may reinforce existing market leaders. The findings highlight important implications for brand visibility, competitive dynamics and how marketers should position their products in AI-driven environments.

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How Deepfake Ads Shape Consumer Response

  • ARF
  • JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH

New research reveals that virtual influencers, despite their growing popularity and flexibility, are less effective than human influencers in driving engagement and brand outcomes. The reason lies in consumer psychology: people perceive virtual influencers as less deserving of success, which reduces feelings of envy—an emotion that typically drives social media engagement. However, this disadvantage can be mitigated when virtual influencers are paired with futuristic, technology-focused brands, where their artificial nature feels more congruent.

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Learning Across Marketing Experiments: A Bayesian Approach to Improving Targeting

  • ARF, MSI

Companies run many marketing experiments, but most A/B tests are analyzed independently—limiting what firms can learn about how customers respond to interventions over time. This research introduces a hierarchical Bayesian framework that integrates data from many experiments simultaneously to estimate customer-level responsiveness to marketing. Using large-scale field experiments, the model decomposes treatment effects into customer, campaign and timing components and uses these insights to improve targeting decisions. The results show that most variation in marketing effectiveness comes from persistent differences in customer responsiveness, enabling firms to better identify who to target and when.

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