Audience & Media Measurement

Beyond Clicks: What Polarizing Content Really Costs Publishers

  • ARF; MSI

Digital publishers often assume that content generating the most clicks also creates the most valuable readers. This MSI Working Paper challenges that assumption. Using behavioral data from a major European news publisher, the researchers find that while politically polarizing content reliably increases engagement, it does little to drive subscriptions—and during politically charged periods, it can actually reduce subscriber acquisition and increase churn. The findings offer important guidance for publishers and marketers seeking to balance short-term attention with long-term customer relationships.

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Attention in Context: What Real Campaigns Reveal About Media Performance

  • ARF Attention Measurement Validation Initiative

What does “attention” really mean in today’s fragmented media landscape—and does more attention actually drive better results? In phase three of the ARF Attention Measurement Validation Initiative, real-world campaign data reveals where attention metrics align, where they diverge and how they relate to brand lift. The findings challenge assumptions and offer a more nuanced view of how attention works across channels, platforms and outcomes.

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Commerce and Shopper Intelligence

Retail media networks and commerce media are redefining the data and measurement landscape, creating new opportunities—and complexity—for marketers and researchers alike. At Commerce & Shopper Intelligence 2026, brands, retailers, and researchers revealed how they’re adapting methodologies and frameworks to better understand increasingly fluid, data-rich shopping journeys.

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The Evolution of the Insights and Analytics Team

  • By John Baro, Young Pros Officer
  • Organizational Council

At this event, members of the ARF Organizational Insights Council presented the results of 21 in-depth interviews (IDIs) with industry leaders that they had conducted from June to November 2025. The purpose of these IDIs was to gain an understanding of the “how” and “why” behind industry shifts uncovered in the Council’s third Organizational Benchmark Survey in 2024. The five Council members – Council Chair Susan Pizarro (Dynata) and Council members Shelley Yang (Ipsos), Remy Spoentgen (Nielsen), John Baro (Transunion), and Maris Cohen (Blackstone), revealed insights on the trends impacting the evolution of insights and analytics team such as the breaking down of silos, shifting roles and responsibilities, and the impact of AI on work distributions and teams.

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Beyond the Dashboard: Rethinking How Marketing Success Is Measured

  • ARF; The Advertising Club of New York

Marketers have access to more data than ever before, yet many still struggle to answer the most important question: Did the marketing effort truly make a difference? And if so, how? Lots of metrics exist. So, is collecting more metrics the best approach to evaluating true impact? In this guest article for The Advertising Club of New York, ARF Senior Director of Research & Insights Tracy Adams argues that the future of measurement isn't about collecting more metrics—it's about integrating multiple approaches to build a more complete, decision-ready understanding of marketing impact.

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The Co-Viewing Advantage: Maximizing Attention Across TV Platforms

  • JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH

Watching television is often a shared experience, but how does co-viewing affect audience attention? An analysis of nearly 25 billion seconds of TV viewing data reveals that watching with others decreases attention to advertisements while increasing attention to programming. The effects vary by platform, with linear TV outperforming CTV in sustaining attention during co-viewing situations. The study also finds that longer co-viewing sessions strengthen engagement, while longer ads can undermine attention. These findings offer important guidance for advertisers, content creators and media planners seeking to maximize audience engagement in an increasingly fragmented television landscape.

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From Measurement to Decision Intelligence: The Future of Marketing Analytics

  • ARF Invited Paper by Jim Spaeth and Alice K. Sylvester

Marketing effectiveness analytics is undergoing a profound transformation. As marketers face growing complexity across channels, data sources and consumer journeys, artificial intelligence is accelerating the shift from retrospective measurement toward dynamic, decision-oriented systems. This paper examines a decade of innovation in marketing analytics, highlighting the rise of integrated measurement frameworks, experimentation, machine learning and emerging AI-powered modeling approaches that promise to reshape how organizations understand and optimize marketing performance.

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Better Creative, Fewer Tests: A New Framework for Efficient Self-Improving Systems

  • ARF; MSI

This MSI working paper introduces TextBO, a novel AI framework designed to improve marketing decisions more efficiently by minimizing costly evaluation cycles. By combining large language models with Bayesian optimization principles, the approach enables AI systems to iteratively refine outputs—such as ad creatives—while requiring fewer real-world tests. The result: faster learning, better-performing outcomes, and a more scalable path to AI-driven decision-making.

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