Proving the Power of Faster MMM: New Research & Real-World Brand Stories

  • ARF
  • INSIGHTS STUDIOS

On February 25, leading authorities from OptiMine shared new research examining why marketing mix model (MMM) refresh cadence matters more than many brands realize. Attendees heard the latest insights from OptiMine’s Model Refresh Cadence project, examining how model degradation occurs over time and how refresh frequency impacts reliability and decision-making. Panelists shared real-world case studies based on brands that have successfully moved to faster refresh cycles, highlighting what changed operationally and what improved as a result.

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Designing for Fit: How Model and Product Size Influence Consumer Evaluations

  • ARF
  • JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH

Advertisers frequently feature both products and human models in print and digital campaigns—but how large each element appears relative to the other can significantly influence consumer responses. This Journal of Advertising Research study shows that the effectiveness of this visual design choice depends on product type. Across a field experiment and multiple online studies, the researchers find that hedonic products perform better when the model is larger than the product, while utilitarian products benefit when the product itself is larger than the model. The reason: these pairings create greater conceptual fluency for consumers, making the advertisement feel more cognitively “right” and leading to stronger product evaluations and purchase intentions.

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Learning Across Marketing Experiments: A Bayesian Approach to Improving Targeting

  • ARF, MSI

Companies run many marketing experiments, but most A/B tests are analyzed independently—limiting what firms can learn about how customers respond to interventions over time. This research introduces a hierarchical Bayesian framework that integrates data from many experiments simultaneously to estimate customer-level responsiveness to marketing. Using large-scale field experiments, the model decomposes treatment effects into customer, campaign and timing components and uses these insights to improve targeting decisions. The results show that most variation in marketing effectiveness comes from persistent differences in customer responsiveness, enabling firms to better identify who to target and when.

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Big vs. Small Influencers: Matching Follower Size to Message Strategy

  • ARF
  • JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH

Should brands partner with influencers who have massive followings—or smaller, more niche audiences? New research shows that the answer depends on how the message is delivered. Using construal level theory, the study finds that follower size signals psychological “social distance,” which shapes how consumers process influencer content. Smaller influencers are most persuasive when brand information is explicit and shared on their own channels, while mega-influencers perform better when branding is subtle or when content appears on brand-owned channels. The results suggest that aligning influencer follower size with message diagnosticity can significantly improve campaign effectiveness.

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How Generative AI Is Reshaping Discovery, Attention and Advertising Exposure

  • ARF

Large language models (LLMs) are rapidly becoming a new gateway to online information, potentially disrupting traditional search engines, websites and advertising markets. Using detailed clickstream data from 2022–2023, this study examines how adopting LLM tools changes consumers’ online behavior. The authors find that LLM adoption gradually reduces traditional search activity and the browsing of smaller websites, while also lowering display advertising exposure. These results suggest that generative AI may reshape how users access information online and alter the distribution of attention and advertising revenue across digital platforms.

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Improving AI-Driven Marketing Content Using LLM-Generated Knowledge

  • ARF, MSI

As generative AI becomes a central tool for producing marketing content, firms increasingly rely on fine-tuning models using engagement data, such as A/B test results. This MSI working paper argues that optimizing only for “what works” risks reward hacking, clickbait and poor generalization. The authors propose a knowledge-guided alignment framework in which large language models (LLMs) generate and validate hypotheses about why content performs well, and then use this knowledge to guide fine-tuning. Using more than 23,000 A/B-tested news headlines, the study shows that knowledge-guided AI produces higher engagement, avoids clickbait and generalizes better—especially in low-data settings.

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