Future States & AI

Read the latest and most impactful research on future states and emerging technologies for innovating research methods here. All the research listed comes from the ARF or one of its subsidiaries: The Journal of Advertising Research (JAR), the Marketing Science Institute (MSI) or the Coalition for Innovative Media Measurement (CIMM). Feel free to bookmark this page, as it will be updated periodically.

Designing with Machines: A Co-Creative Model for Generative AI in Advertising Agencies

  • ARF
  • Journal of Advertising Research

A new study uncovers how advertising agencies are attempting to integrate generative AI into their creative workflows, and the repercussions of that process. Based on interviews and field data, the research presents a four-phase model—readiness, co-creativity, validation and execution. Although the study reveals certain anxieties surrounding this integration, in the end both human and AI elements together are required to boost and enliven the creative process.

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  • Article

Marketing’s Moment: How Resilient Brands can Thrive in Times of Uncertainty

  • ARF

Marketing is more than a growth lever—it’s a critical driver of resilience in uncertain times. This Marketing Science Institute (MSI) synthesis presents evidence-based strategies for marketing leaders to help their organizations adapt, protect core assets and unlock long-term value amid volatility. Drawing from leading journals, it outlines how marketing can be reimagined as a flexible, risk-aware and analytics-driven function that steers firms through disruption toward recovery and competitive advantage.

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Learn About the Benefits, Limitations and Dangers of Using LLMs in Advertising Research

  • ARF
  • Knowledge at Hand

This report offers an abridged version of the cumulative 2025 AI handbook, exploring the benefits, limitations and dangers of generative AI models when employed in various tasks associated with marketing and advertising research. This report sums up the insights from several experiments where ARF researchers tested AI's capabilities in survey design, sentiment analysis, coding open-ended responses, language translation and addressing AI risks.

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The 2025 Guide on Using AI for Advertising Research

  • ARF ORIGINAL RESEARCH

This update to the ARF’s first comprehensive handbook, released last year, provides an exploration into the burgeoning technology’s transformative role in marketing and advertising research. It covers the integration of AI into marketing strategies, ethical considerations, future trends and practical case studies. This handbook is an essential guide for advertising research professionals looking to leverage any of the latest AI platforms while ensuring ethical and impactful outcomes.

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Maximizing Customer Lifetime Value through Subscription Models

  • ARF
  • MSI

This research explores the downstream and upstream effects of consumer-to-consumer (C2C) gift subscriptions compared to personal subscriptions in the context of live streaming. It reveals that C2C subscriptions significantly enhance customer lifetime value by encouraging more tips and comments and highlights the importance of creator performance quality in driving subscription behaviors.

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Learn How to Train LLMs to Identify Implicit Consumer Needs

This study explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to revolutionize marketing research. By partnering with a Fortune 500 food company, the authors replicated qualitative and quantitative studies using GPT-4. The findings indicate that LLMs can effectively generate synthetic respondents, moderate in-depth interviews and perform data analysis tasks, matching or even surpassing human performance in certain aspects. The study highlights the benefits of a Human-LLM hybrid approach, where LLMs assist in various stages of the research process, from study design to data analysis. This approach not only enhances efficiency but also uncovers new insights that might be overlooked by human researchers alone.

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Should Experiments Use LLMs as Human Surrogates? This Study Gives a Resounding No.

This study evaluates the reasoning depth of large language models (LLMs) using the 11-20 Money Request Game, an experimental game designed to test level-k reasoning. Level-k reasoning is a theoretical framework in game theory where individuals operate at varying levels of strategic thinking. The findings of the study reveal significant differences between the responses of LLMs and human participants, highlighting the limitations of using LLMs as human surrogates in behavioral experiments. This research emphasizes the need for caution when interpreting LLM behavior as human-like, as the models often exhibit inconsistent and non-human-like reasoning patterns. The study suggests that while LLMs can provide valuable insights, they should not be relied upon as accurate simulations of human behavior.

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LOLA: Revolutionizing Content Experiments with LLM-Assisted Online Learning

In the rapidly evolving digital content landscape, media firms and news publishers require automated and efficient methods to enhance user engagement. This study introduces the LLM-Assisted Online Learning Algorithm (LOLA), a novel framework that integrates Large Language Models (LLMs) with adaptive experimentation to optimize content delivery. Leveraging a large-scale dataset from Upworthy, which includes 17,681 headline A/B tests, the study investigates three pure-LLM approaches and finds that prompt-based methods perform poorly, while embedding-based classification models and fine-tuned open-source LLMs achieve higher accuracy.


LOLA combines the best pure-LLM approach with the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm to allocate traffic and maximize clicks adaptively. Numerical experiments on data from the website Upworthy show that LOLA outperforms the standard A/B test method, pure bandit algorithms and pure-LLM approaches, particularly in scenarios with limited experimental traffic. This scalable approach is applicable to content experiments across various settings where firms seek to optimize user engagement, including digital advertising and social media recommendations.

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Discover the Future of Advertising through Immersive Technologies

  • Journal of Advertising Research

Immersive technologies, including augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR) and mixed realities (MR), are expected to become increasingly important in advertising. These technologies create extended realities (XR) that enhance consumer engagement and provide new opportunities for marketers. While the fully immersive “metaverse” is still in development, platforms like Fortnite, Roblox and Zepeto already provide touchpoints where consumers connect physical and virtual realities.

Despite the potential of immersive technologies to transform advertising, there are challenges in effectively deploying them within communication strategies. Limited knowledge on how to use specific technologies or combinations of technologies to achieve different promotional objectives, siloed research on AR and VR applications, and the infancy of these research areas are some of the key challenges. This special issue of the Journal of Advertising Research addresses these challenges and provides insights into the future of immersive technologies in advertising.

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