News You Can Use

A weekly round-up of the industry’s top stories and research curated by the ARF.

CPG’s Moving to Leverage Advanced Data, While Waiting for Scale

According to this Media Post article by Karlene Lukovitz, consumer packaged goods brands continue to focus their marketing budgets on television.  The challenge is to harness TV’s reach more efficiently and the goal is to integrate that reach into a cross-platform audience model based on buying audiences, regardless of screen.

This article presents some of the highlights of interviews with Srishti Gupta, President of the IRI Media Center of Excellence.  She discussed the progress and remaining challenges of harnessing consumer purchasing and other data beyond demographics in television, especially in a programmatic environment.

Advertisers began to experiment with TV planning based on consumer purchasing data in 2015, “and that is going to impact buying and negotiations in 2016,” according to Gupta.

Gupta stated, “We’re seeing increasing desire to move away from demo- and age-based targeting. As digital media have led the way for custom audience targeting and [fast] attribution-based measurement, advertisers are looking for similar solutions and accountability for TV.”

“With digital spend rapidly growing and projected to beat TV in the near future, and experimentation with addressable TV and OTT,” she added, “there’s an increasing demand both for cross-platform, as well as TV, measurement.”

Highlights from Simulmedia’s PeopleFront Event

In the prior century, an Upfront meant a broadcast/cable network event created for advertiser/agency senior staff. The focus was programming, i.e. the schedule. A one or two-hour presentation (often with slides developed by research teams) was followed by meeting talent, up-close and personal.

This format still exists but the dozens of Upfronts now span a panoply of companies, tackling a variety of media industry firms. Simulmedia is a TV  marketing technology company focused on proprietary science and software – key features of the evolving media ecosystem. They recently held their version of the Upfront, their annual “PeopleFront.”  It was comprised of four panels featuring industry “celebrities.” One session was about TV & Wall Street; another tackled key research issues; a third discussed cross-platform and data-driven decisions; the last panel was comprised of TV buyers and sellers.

Here’s one quote from a panelist:

“There’s a myth that there’s a vast amount of people who never watch TV.” – Steve Hasker, president and COO of Nielsen.

Ready or Not, Here Come The Upfronts

This MediaPost article by Adam Buckman provides an overview of the Upfront and NewFront presentations, which started on March 2 and will continue for almost three months.  The majority of these presentations will occur in May.

Some of the companies which previously had big Upfront presentations are opting for private, smaller presentations.  According to this article these networks “apparently feel they are not worth the investment — the implication being that they can book more business by making the same investment (or less of one) in a series of smaller presentations.

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Upfront 2016: TV Networks May Gain Upper Hand for First Time In Years

The 2016 Upfront season may represent the first time in four years in which advertisers may have to pay higher rates of increase to reach TV audiences, according to this Variety article by Brian Steinberg.

Predictions by media buyers include:

-“Some money will go back to the upfront.”  TV may secure more advance ad commitments for coming shows for the first time since 2011.

-“In 2016, the TV networks are likely to seek CPM increases anywhere from 5% to 9%.”  The current market could reverse years of narrowed CPM rates.

-The rise in rates may be due to audience erosion.

According to this article, “For those seeking broad reach, sight-sound-and-motion and brand awareness traditional TV still utterly dominates all alternatives despite the growth of digital media owners and increasing consumption of video on internet-connected devices,” said Brian Wieser, a media-industry analyst with Pivotal Research Group, in a February research note.

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New Metrics on the Way, But the Upfront Comes First

New cross-platform measurements from Nielsen and comScore have been introduced.  However, according to an article in Broadcasting & Cable by Jon Lafayette, clients, such as networks and ad agencies, are currently evaluating the data.  This data is not expected to have much of an impact on the 2016 Upfront.

According to this article:

“We’re still in the ‘asking questions about the numbers’ phase,” says David Poltrack, chief research officer at CBS. Poltrack says his top concern is that all of the viewing not counted in current measurements is included in the new metric. CBS doesn’t want clients to think the new numbers include all viewers if some are still excluded.

While Nielsen and comScore are trying to get their figures into clients’ hands in time for the upfront, Poltrack says no one expected them to be used until the start of the new TV season.

“Everybody is trying to figure out how to build a cross-platform process on the agency side and on the media side and those conversations are going on,” he says. “There no definite plan yet.”

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Programmatic TV? Not in 2016, Though Data-Driven TV Buying is Hot

According to this Campaign Live article by Todd Wasserman, Programmatic TV may represent the majority of the overall TV ad spend in the future; however, that could take a decade or more. Streamlining ad buys and achieving precise viewer segmentation are among the appeals of programmatic.

However, the upfronts and human-based selling are likely to continue during this transition period.

Todd Gordon, general manager of programmatic TV at TubeMogul concludes that in 10 years, networks will still be holding upfronts. “There’s always going to be big-event TV and custom stuff that you want to do and high-touch type stuff,” he says. “Software isn’t going to do that for you.”

The impact of addressable TV and “TV Everywhere” are also discussed by Wasserman.

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Limited-Interruption Advertising in Digital-Video Content: An Analysis Compares the Effects of “Midroll” Versus “Preroll” Spots and Clutter Advertising

In this Journal of Advertising Research Digital First article, the authors, Jean Brechman, The College of New Jersey; Steven Bellman, University of South Australia; Jennifer A. Robinson, RMIT University; Amy Rask, MediaScience; Duane Varan, MediaScience, compare potential advertising formats for digital video.

The researchers found that digital video offers new opportunities and formats for television advertising. One of these new formats is “limited-interruption” advertising, in which each midroll advertising break (shown during the video content) features just one commercial.  Using a controlled experiment, this study compared limited-interruption advertising to preroll (before video) and clutter advertising, on measures of advertising intrusiveness and effectiveness.

Among the conclusions of this paper:

Limited-interruption advertising outperformed the other two digital-video formats, in terms of branded advertisement recall.

Repeated-exposure limited interruption, which is used by many networks online, offers a way of achieving exclusive high brand awareness but at the cost of potentially reducing advertisement liking.

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Advertising Budgeting: Where’s the Evidence?

Dr. Rachel Kennedy, Ph.D. – Associate Professor, Ehrenberg Bass Institute

Comparing budgets from competing methods for a variety of categories revealed that different approaches led to significantly different budgets. The key insights from this study are provided.

  • Not all budgeting approaches are equal. Different budget approaches give different answers.
  • “Be evidence-based in selecting approaches to use.”
  • Combine key approaches. The authors recommend combining heuristics with algorithmic approaches, and considering both internally- and externally-focused perspectives.

 

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Seeking the Moment of Ad Impact

Nathalie Bordes – Senior Director, Emerging Channels Research, ESPN

Dr. Duane Varan, Ph.D. – CEO, MediaScience

 

This study used eye tracking to pinpoint the moment of ad exposure.

Viewability, an MRC standard, can be defined as “Is my ad in a prominent place so it can be seen by my targeted audience?”

Do desktop and mobile impressions require different exposures to be “seen”?

Controlled exposure, time to see, how quickly eye gaze intersects with the ad, how quickly visual fixation occurs, and memory are all affected at different exposure times. Each image was on screen for intervals between 500 and 4,000 milliseconds, or eight thresholds.

How is memory impacted by the different thresholds for exposure?

  • The eye gaze occurred at the .5 second mark.
  • It was present for both scrolling and static exposure.

Mobile scrolling produced higher results than the PC.

  • Even at .5 second, there is 36% recall.
  • At 4 seconds, there is 80% recall.

Conclusions:

  • Mobile doesn’t require longer exposure time. Mobile actually requires less. Scrolling ad environments also do not need more exposure.
  • Ad recall already happens at .5 seconds.
  • There is a real ongoing need for further dialogue (time threshold)
  • How does creative play into this? Creative is crucial for ad impact, but not necessarily for the gaze or fixation.

 

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Evaluating TV Effectiveness

Olga Casabona – Senior Director, Client Insights, Turner

Isaac Weber – VP, Strategy, MarketShare

Ad dollars are shifting from TV to online due to the latter’s perceived higher efficiency. But TV’s problem isn’t effectiveness, it’s measurement. The research aimed to help marketers better understand media effectiveness, in order to maximize sales and ROI.

Media mix models from over 500 brands were analyzed, including actual market observations. A holistic model encompassing paid, owned, earned, controllable and non-controllable was developed that measures direct and indirect impacts on media. Key findings are as follows:

  • Even with the explosion of digital media, “TV remains the most effective advertising medium representing the highest impact on sales.” TV was also found to drive the largest indirect impact through organic search and web activity.
  • “Media mix matters. Optimizing TV spend with high-frequency consumer interaction data translates into significant increases in sales.
  • Premium content also matters. Premium TV online video significantly outperforms other publishers’ video content.” Despite the lower amount of impressions, premium content drives higher ROI.

Implications for marketers:

  • “Consider the strength of TV’s effectiveness across categories.”
  • “Leverage TV’s synergistic impact on other marketing vehicles.”
  • “Recognize the “need for consistent, adequate, and optimally-timed TV.”

 

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